# How is it that for the PA \$3,000,000 Extreme Green lottery ticket there are only 2 remaining \$3M winning tickets left out of 5 , yet, when I look up the scratch off winners listed on the pa lottery website, it only lists \$1,000 winners for the state of PA? I’m becoming very skeptical.

We count the top THREE prize levels in our Smart Factor algorithm.  NOT JUST the top prize level.  For extreme green this means there are:
5 top prizes left:
Top Six PrizesWins Remaining
\$3,000,0002
\$250,0002
\$50,0001
Extreme green had a printing of 6,000,000 tickets.
This number of top prizes remaining at the top three levels is disproportionate for what is expected with the number of tickets remaining.  We estimate the total number of tickets remaining = 12.3% left (currently we’re showing 87.7 Est % sold).
6,000,000 tickets x 12.3% remaining = 738,000 tickets remaining.
The specific odds for these three prize levels are expressed in the game details as winnable in multiple different ways:
 \$50,000 w/ EXTREME \$50,000 2,000,000 3 \$50,000 \$50,000 2,000,000 3 \$50,000 w/ GREEN MATCH \$250,000 600,000 10 \$250,000 \$250,000 600,000 10 \$3,000,000 w/ \$3 MILLION \$3,000,000 2,000,000 3 \$3,000,000 \$3,000,000 3,000,000 2
Added up, the odds of winning any of the top prizes is:
31 prizes out of 6,000,000 tickets
(3+3+10+10+3+2)= 31
or 31 top prizes out of 6,000,000 tickets.
Today the odds of winning one of the top three prizes is 5 / 738,000 tickets remaining.
If the top prizes had evenly distributed over time, we would have expected only 12.3% of the top prizes remaining or 31 x 12.3% = less than 3.8 prizes.
There are 5 top prizes left which is better than 3.8, which means the odds have changed for the better for winning a top prize.