For VA, we pull and factor in ALL Prize levels, so our SmartFactor algorithm is 100% accurate, as VA publishes all Prizes unclaimed on a daily basis on each games webpage. For example:
Having all prizes remaining for all prize levels allows us to fully calculate the SmartFactor rating. Also, the EST % of tickets sold is highly accurate (again because of all of this data published).
For TN, where they only publish prizes for the top 3 prize levels, our SmartFactor rating still works, but the Est % of tickets sold has a lower degree of accuracy. In this case, our SmartFactor algorithm still works, but we have lower confidence in the Est % tickets sold. Over the life of the game, I would say it’s approx 95% accurate. For VA, I would put our Est % of tickets sold at 99.99% accurate.
To put it simply: States that publish all prizes remaining for all prize levels = HIGHEST degree of accuracy for Est % of tickets sold. The fewer prize levels they report on, the less accurate we can be. We don’t publish a SmartFactor for states that publish less than 3 prize levels. For most of those states (like NY, MA & FL), we file Freedom of Information requests to get that detail. We’ve requested that level of detail from TN, but hey have flat out refused to provide it.